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Printing News Magazine
Special Report: Economic Forecast 2006

Printing News MagazineJan. 9, 2006—While some celebrate the New Year by resolving to lose weight or exercise more, most business owners take a different approach. They peer into the murky future and wonder what challenges await, and how they can overcome them. They think about increasing profits, retaining customers, and how to stave off the competition for yet another year.

While no one has a crystal ball to predict exactly what the future holds, there are tools to help you make the best decisions possible. Printing News talked with Andrew Paparozzi, chief economist for the National Association for Printing Leadership, to get his take on what the graphic arts industry can expect in 2006, and how to prepare for what comes your way.

Not All Rainbows and Sunshine
According to Mr. Paparozzi, the graphic arts industry does not necessarily need a full-on economic recession to feel a blow. In fact, for every 1 percent of decline in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the print industry will see a hit of up to $800 million in lost work. This is on top of a ?classic textbook profit squeeze??ever-increasing pressure on print shops to decrease their prices while increasing their profit.

While the print industry can expect the growth rate to slow somewhat in 2006, it is not alone. For the most part, according to Mr. Paparozzi, all manufacturing industries will face the same issues. Everyone is faced with a changing world economy and rapidly changing markets. Everyone is competing, both domestically and internationally, with companies and segments that 10 years ago would have been completely separate. Not only are they competing for market share, but for talented employees, technology advances, and market perception.

For the print industry, the market has gotten about as big as it will for a while, so the challenge is not to increase the market size, but to capture market share. This is one way printers can thrive.

Now the Good News
When faced with what may be a difficult year, what can you do? Mr. Paparozzi stressed that printers have to maximize their efficiency and productivity. Streamline your operations and be willing to make tough decisions. Other important points printers need to keep in mind include:

  • Be candid, especially to yourself, about what you do and how you do it. Don?t try to be something you are not, but excel in what you are.
  • Understand your clients? goals, issues, and challenges, and how you can create value for them. Realize that you are in the communications business, not the ink-on-paper business, and be ready to make a compelling case for why a client should work with you.
  • Know your competition; know who you are competing against and where they are coming from. Your biggest competition may not be the shop down the street, but the shop across the country.
  • Candidly and soberly look at your operations. There are no easy answers, but one way to do this is to build a seamless digital workflow.
The most fundamental change you need to be aware of is that the industry is moving away from being technology-driven, to being leadership and management-driven. Everything is getting more complex; every decision carries more risks and greater potential rewards. More than ever, print shops need people in charge with the skills to balance these factors and guide them forward.

?The one thing you cannot do is ignore this,? commented Mr. Paparozzi. ?You cannot assume that [industry changes] will not happen tomorrow.?

Keep an Eye Out
Some trends driving the changes can be anticipated. One is the increasingly global economy. China, said Mr. Paparozzi, will continue to grow as a print competitor, and is likely to have a significant impact on the U.S. print industry in 2006. Other areas printers should keep an eye on include Latin and South America, which both have growing graphic arts industries.

Another trend that many printers worry about is the Internet and the digitization of communication. However, we do not communicate in just one way, and long term this is an opportunity, not a threat. The key here is providing solutions.

Printers must be willing to become partners with clients and offer suggestions for the most effective way to get the message out. This could be print, it might be the Internet, or it may be something else. Those shops willing to turn potential threats into opportunities will be the ones who come out ahead.

The industry is changing, of that there can be no doubt. Everyone who participates in graphic arts, from printers to designers to trade shops, will have to create their own growth and find their own market niches. The single biggest threat the industry faces is complacency, noted Mr. Paparozzi. Figure out how to differentiate yourself and how you can become a valued asset to your clients, and 2006 will be a year of great growth and prosperity.